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James Carville: Biden can’t ‘replicate the 2020 coalition,’ non-white ‘male detachment’ is a ‘significant problem’


Democratic strategist James Carville warned Monday that President Biden would not “replicate” the coalition he had in 2020 for the 2024 campaign, citing the president’s lack of support among young, non-white voters.

“I think the polls have gotten a little better,” Carville told MSNBC’s Ari Melber. “But we’re not going to replicate the 2020 coalition. Most people think we’re going to lose Hispanic men. Young black men have become so disengaged from this process, and it’s happened quickly. It’s a big concern for me.”

Carville, who has repeatedly warned Democrats about a lack of support among young minority voters, said “male detachment” in the United States is a huge problem.

“I think President Biden could win the election, but I think in terms of party identification, in terms of building it up as we go, male detachment in the United States is a significant issue, particularly among what we would call nonconformists. -White men,” he said.

James Carville on MSNBC

James Carville warns that MSNBC host Biden won’t replicate the 2020 coalition this time around. (Screenshot/MSNBC)


The Democratic strategist spoke with New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd in March and told her that “woke things are killing” the Democratic Party.

“I suspect there are too many female preachers out there,” he said, before calling them killjoys who say, “Don’t drink beer. Don’t watch football. Don’t eat hamburgers.” . It’s not good”. for you.'”

He continued: “The message is too feminine: ‘Everything you do is destroying the planet. You have to eat your peas.'”

Carville also criticized party and media “elites” for ignoring male Democratic voters, saying, “If you listen to Democratic elites — NPR is my go-to place for this — all the talk is about how women and women of color, will decide this election.”

Rebuking that position, he told Dowd: “I’m like, ‘Well, 48 percent of the people who vote are men. Do you mind if they have some consideration?’

James Carville on "Real time"

Democratic strategist James Carville during a recent appearance on HBO’s “Real Time.” (Screenshot/HBO)

Black voters unhappy with Biden, Democratic strategists fear it could ‘threaten his re-election’: NY TIMES

Carville appeared to double down on his warning that non-white male voters were going to be a problem for the Democratic Party on Monday during his “Carville’s Classroom” podcast.

“I talked about it a lot,” Carville said. “It’s horrifying our numbers among young voters, particularly young Black people, young Latinos…young people of color. Particularly men.”

A USA Today/Suffolk University poll released in January found support for Biden among Black voters was 63%, down 24 points from the 87% he had in 2020.

Joe Biden speaking at the podium, clenching his fist

President Joe Biden speaks at the Abbotts Creek Community Center during an event to promote his economic agenda in Raleigh, North Carolina, January 18, 2024. (SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)


The poll also found that Trump had an advantage over Biden among Hispanic voters by a margin of 39% to 34% and among voters under 35 by a margin of 37% to 33%.

A New York Times/Siena College poll released last month showed Trump leading Biden among Hispanic voters 46% to 40%. The survey also found that Trump enjoys the support of 23% of black voters.

Landon Mion and Gabriel Hays of Fox News contributed to this report.


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